The word "Kagi" comes from the Japanese art of woodblock printing. A kagi or "key" is the L-shaped guide in a woodblock that a printer used to line up the paper for printing. Because of this, Kagi charts are sometimes referred to as "Key charts." Kagi charts were popularized by Steve Nison in his book Beyond Candlesticks.
The thickness of the Kagi line changes depending on price action. The thick line is called the yang line and the thin line is called the yin line. The locations where the line changed from moving higher to moving lower are called "shoulders" and the locations where the line changed from moving lower to moving higher are called "waists". Whenever a yin (thin) line moves above the previous shoulder, it turns into a yang (thick) line. Similarly, whenever a yang line moves below the previous waist, it turns into a yin line.
The Kagi line will continue to move up (or down) until prices reverse by a specified amount. When that happens, a short horizontal line is added as well as a new vertical line which extends to the new closing price. There are several ways to specify the reversal amount - in absolute points, as a percentage, or by using the Average True Range of recent prices.
Kagi charts are price charts with thick and thin vertical lines connected by short horizontal lines. Just like P&F charts, Kagi charts only add a new vertical line when prices have reversed enough to cancel the current uptrend or downtrend. Until such a reversal occurs, a Kagi chart will only move up (or down) in its current column. Kagi charts do not have constantly spaced time axes.
The simplest way to interpret Kagi charts can be summed up by Steve Nison's expression Buy on yang, sell on yin. When the Kagi line goes from thin to thick, prices have just exceeded their previous important high - that's a bullish signal. The opposite is also true. When the Kagi line goes from thick to thin, prices have just fallen below their previous low, not a good sign for things to come.
Standard support/resistance, trend and chart pattern analysis techniques can also be used with Kagi charts. In fact it is often easier to locate strong support or resistance levels on Kagi charts because of their "clean" appearance.
Another interpretation technique mentioned by Steve Nison is to look for a sequence of nine (mostly consecutive) shoulders or waists. Traders look for strong counter-moves soon after the ninth shoulder or waist appears.
Parameters
There are three ways to specify the reversal amount that is used in the construction of a Kagi chart: Absolute points, Percentage, and Average True Range (ATR).
Absolute Points
With the "Absolute Points" method, you specify the number of points that a stock must reverse before a change in the Kagi line occurs. The advantage of this method is that it is very easy to understand and predict where reversals will occur. The disadvantage is that the point value needs to be different for high priced stocks than for low priced stocks. Typically you will need to choose a value that is roughly 1/20th the average price of the stock during the time frame you want to chart. Common values include 1, 2, 4, and 10.
Important Note: The Default for Kagi "Pts" method is currently 14 which is too large for most stocks. You'll need to change it to a smaller number to get a useful chart.
Percentage
The "Percentage" method causes a reversal each time prices move more that the percentage that you specified. This has the advantage of not needing to change the setting if the value of the stock changes significantly during the time period being charted. The disadvantage is that it isn't easy to predict exactly where the next reversal will occur.
Average True Range (ATR)
The "Average True Range (ATR)" method uses the value of the ATR indicator to determine where the next reversal should occur. The ATR indicator is designed to ignore the normal volatility of a stock and thus it can "automatically" find good reversal levels regardless of the value or volatility of the stock selected. ATR with a value of 14 is the default value for Kagi charts and should generate a very usable chart in most cases.
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Kagi Forex Charts Indicator
Candlesticks Forex Chart Patern Indicator
Bullish reversal candlesticks and patterns suggest that early selling pressure was overcome and buying pressure emerged for a strong finish. Such bullish price action indicates strong demand and that support may be found.
The inverted hammer, long white candlestick and marubozu show increased buying pressure rather than an actual price reversal. With its long upper shadow, an inverted hammer signifies intra-session buying interest that faded by the finish. Even though the security finished well below its high, the ability of buyers to push prices higher during the session is bullish. The long white candlestick and white marubozu signify sustained buying pressure in which prices advanced sharply from open to close. Signs of increased buying pressure bode well for support.
The doji and spinning top denote indecision and are generally considered neutral. These non-reversal patterns indicate a decrease in selling pressure, but not necessarily a revival of buying pressure. After a decline, the appearance of a doji or spinning top denotes a sudden letup in selling pressure. A stand-off has developed between buyers and sellers, and a support level may form.
Electronic Data Systems (EDS) traded in a range bound by 58 and 75 for about 4 months at the beginning of 2000. Support at 58 was first established in early January and resistance at 75 in late January. The stock declined to its previous support level in early March, formed a long legged doji and later a spinning top (red circle). Notice that the doji formed immediately after a long black Marubozu (long black candlestick without upper or lower shadows). This doji marked a sudden decrease in relative selling pressure and support held. Support was tested again in April and this test was also marked by a long legged doji (blue arrow).
Broadcom (BRCM)[Brcm] formed a bullish engulfing pattern to mark a new support level just below 210 (green oval) in late July 2000. A few days later a long white candlestick formed and engulfed the previous 4 candlesticks. The combination of the bullish engulfing and long white candlestick served to reinforce the validity of support around 208. The stock has since tested support around 208 once in early September and twice in October. A piercing pattern (red arrow) formed in early October and a large hammer in late October.
Medtronic (MDT)[Mdt] established support around 46 in late February with a spinning top (red arrow) and early March with a harami. The stock declined sharply in April and formed a hammer to confirm support at 46 (green arrow). After a reaction rally to resistance around 57, the stock again declined sharply and again found support around 46 (blue arrow). The black candlestick with the long lower shadow marked support, but the body was too big to qualify as a hammer.
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
BREAKING THE TREND
At the moment, majoriti of pairs are struggling to break the trend. From my analysis, only EurJpy and AudJpy have broken the trend. The rest will be in ranging mode until the trend is broken.
AudJpy @ 61.70
EurJpy @ 123.80
Those are entry point for short. Those are guideline only. You should be looking for better entry unless you have the guts for -ve pips
The rest of the pairs are ranging at the moment until the trendline broken. Do enter at will but no long term trade. Scalping mode from now on until a new trend is born.
Good luck
STOP LOSS HUNTING. THE MARKET IS CRUEL
Sometimes it happen but this is one rare ocassion and I am really stunned. I was holding a long position on GJ. I am in profit of about 100 pip with a stop loss of 50 pip from my entry point. Guess what. The market turned down 150 pip in one move, hit my stop loss and now its flying.
This has nothing to do with the broker, it is just the market is cruel. No matter who, you will get hit sooner or later. In order to hit me, the market has to move 150 pip againts the trend. What an honour I must say. 150 pip is much more than most people TP.
Enough said, all pairs should have a steady climb from now on. If you are holding long at the moment, make it long term.
